UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 5-1
Ferencvárosi vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
TOB
0 - 0
FTC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
4 - 1
KSC
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
3 - 0
LUD
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
0 - 3
SSG
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 1
SHK
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TAR
6 - 1
TOB
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
TOB
0 - 0
FTC
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FKT
2 - 2
TOB
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
KYZ
1 - 3
TOB
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAS
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |