Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-0
Ferencvárosi vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
FTC
1 - 0
BEI
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
FTC
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FTC
2 - 0
UJP
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FHV
4 - 1
FTC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
BUD
2 - 4
FTC
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
FKJ
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FKJ
2 - 0
FSM
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SUD
2 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
FKS
1 - 1
FKJ
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FKJ
1 - 0
VEN
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |