Union Brescia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 1
FER
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
FCS
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ASG
0 - 3
FER
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FER
3 - 0
RAV
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
RIM
1 - 3
FER
26%
25%
48%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SSS
1 - 4
VIC
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
TER
0 - 0
SSS
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
SSS
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 0
FAN
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |