Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Last 16
Global 3-4
Union Brescia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 1
FER
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
UAR
1 - 0
FER
20%
27%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FER
2 - 0
LEO
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 3
FER
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FER
1 - 1
ACL
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 1
FER
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CRO
0 - 0
JS2
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 0
CRO
23%
24%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 2
USF
70%
18%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
JS2
4 - 1
CRO
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |