Union Brescia vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 3
USC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ABN
1 - 5
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FER
2 - 4
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 0
FER
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FER
0 - 3
REG
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
CTT
15%
25%
60%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
USC
2 - 1
ACL
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ACL
2 - 0
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
ACL
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ACL
2 - 1
PRO
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |