Fénix vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
FEN
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 0
FEN
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FEN
4 - 0
BOS
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FEN
3 - 4
CSC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
REN
0 - 3
FEN
23%
24%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 1
SUD
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
DUR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 0
PLA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ATE
1 - 0
SUD
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CSM
1 - 3
SUD
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |