Fénix vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 2
FEN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 4
RIV
37%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
LFC
5 - 2
FEN
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 3
CSC
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
FEN
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SUD
2 - 4
PRO
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 1
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |