Fénix vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 1
FEN
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 3
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
FEN
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 2
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 0
NAC
37%
24%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 1
PRO
56%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 3
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 1
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 2
BSC
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |