Fénix vs Durazno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ATE
0 - 1
FEN
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
FEN
3 - 0
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
FEN
2 - 0
PLA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FEN
2 - 1
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
CER
2 - 1
FEN
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 0
DUR
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 2
PLA
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
DUR
2 - 1
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SUD
1 - 1
DUR
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
DUR
5 - 2
PAY
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |