Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis


79	ELO	83
-8.8%	Tilt	-12.2%
737º	General ELO ranking	484º
22º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

35.9%

Fénix

27.6%

Draw

36.5%

Defensor Sporting

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%

27.6%

Draw

0-0

9.1%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.6%

36.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

10

1º

5º

4º

11

1º

3º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

3º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	14	14	1º	100%
2º	13	13	2º	100%
3º	11	11	3º	100%
4º	10	10	4º	100%
5º	8	8	5º	0%
6º	8	8	6º	0%
7º	6	6	7º	100%
8º	6	6	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Final Series	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fénix

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
07 Jul. 2024	FEN 1 - 0 RIV 35% 28% 37%	79	82	3	0
22 Jun. 2024	DEP 1 - 3 FEN 42% 28% 30%	78	78	0	+1
16 Jun. 2024	FEN 3 - 1 MWA 36% 28% 36%	78	80	2	0
08 Jun. 2024	RAC 2 - 1 FEN 57% 24% 19%	78	82	4	0
02 Jun. 2024	FEN 0 - 1 PEÑ 32% 28% 40%	78	82	4	0

Matches

Defensor Sporting

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
07 Jul. 2024	DEF 1 - 1 MWA 55% 24% 22%	82	80	2
22 Jun. 2024	RAC 0 - 1 DEF 45% 26% 29%	82	82	0
16 Jun. 2024	DEF 1 - 1 PRO 46% 24% 30%	82	82	0
09 Jun. 2024	DEP 0 - 2 DEF 32% 28% 41%	82	78	4
02 Jun. 2024	DEF 3 - 0 CSM 52% 24% 24%	82	81	1