Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 2
FEN
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
FEN
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 1
PLA
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
FEN
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
CEL
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
MWA
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |