Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 2
FEN
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
3 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 4
NAC
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CER
3 - 1
FEN
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FEN
5 - 1
CEL
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
REN
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
5 - 2
DEF
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEF
51%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |