Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 3
FEN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FEN
4 - 1
SUD
51%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ETS
1 - 2
FEN
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
FEN
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 1
GAR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUV
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
UCH
1 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
DEF
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 3
LFC
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |