Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LFC
2 - 3
FEN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 0
FEN
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 2
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 1
JUV
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 0
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
RAC
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 1
DEF
22%
27%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |