Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 1
DAN
42%
26%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 0
FEN
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 2
ETS
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 1
JUN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CSC
0 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 2
DEF
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |