Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
FEN
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
FEN
4 - 2
CSY
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
PLA
0 - 1
FEN
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
PAY
2 - 5
FEN
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
DEF
0 - 1
MWA
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 1
DAN
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
PRO
1 - 2
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |