Fénix vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 4
FEN
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 2
FEN
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FEN
0 - 0
ETS
53%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
PLA
0 - 0
FEN
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
FEN
1 - 3
JUN
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ETS
1 - 1
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
RAC
38%
26%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
ATE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |