Fénix Bs As vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix Bs As
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FEN
1 - 0
ARQ
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
FEN
41%
30%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 0
ITU
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
RIE
1 - 0
FEN
55%
26%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
FEN
5 - 1
MUÑ
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
SBA
43%
29%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
ARQ
1 - 0
LUG
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
LUG
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
CES
36%
29%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |