Fenegro vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
FEN
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 0
VER
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LEG
2 - 2
FEN
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FEN
5 - 1
VAR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 3
FEN
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 1
BUS
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 1
MAG
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 2
ARC
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACC
3 - 2
MAG
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIG
3 - 0
MAG
84%
12%
4%
|
18 | 60 | 42 | +1 |