Felgueiras 1932 vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
6º
2º
14
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEL
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 1
ALV
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 1
ACA
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
FEL
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
ALV
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |