Feirense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
FEI
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 1
COV
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 0
FEI
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 1
ACV
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 1
FEI
30%
29%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
COV
2 - 1
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 1
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 0
MAF
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
VAR
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |