Feirense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
FEI
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GFC
3 - 2
FEI
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 0
TRO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 2
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAR
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 2
SCF
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |