Fehring vs Hartberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
16º
7º
48
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 4
FEH
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FEH
1 - 1
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LEB
0 - 2
FEH
45%
21%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FEH
2 - 0
SUT
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 3
FEH
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TSH
5 - 4
UGA
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
TSH
0 - 2
FUR
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 2
TSH
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TSH
0 - 3
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LEB
3 - 2
TSH
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |