Fehring vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
14º
7º
32
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
KIN
2 - 0
FEH
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FEH
1 - 0
FCS
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
ALL
1 - 1
FEH
65%
17%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
FEH
1 - 1
ILZ
29%
22%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
KAL
4 - 1
FEH
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LAF
2 - 0
LEB
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
TSH
1 - 0
LAF
53%
20%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
4 - 2
KIN
76%
14%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
0 - 2
FCS
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
1 - 1
ALL
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |