Fehring vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
8º
2º
39
3º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FUR
2 - 1
FEH
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
FEH
1 - 3
VOI
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ILZ
1 - 2
FEH
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FEH
1 - 3
GNA
35%
21%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MET
3 - 1
FEH
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAF
5 - 0
JUD
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
2 - 0
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LAF
2 - 1
HGK
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 5
LAF
8%
16%
76%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAF
3 - 3
UGA
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |