Fehring vs Allerheiligen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
43.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
14º
7º
53
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILZ
4 - 0
FEH
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
1 - 4
ILZ
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
0 - 0
KAL
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SVT
3 - 1
FEH
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ANN
3 - 4
FEH
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Allerheiligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
LEB
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TSH
5 - 2
ALL
31%
21%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
9 - 0
LAF
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ALL
4 - 5
WEI
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 1
KOF
52%
20%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |