Federico Mayo vs Athletic Nueva Jarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
69.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LRP
5 - 0
FED
19%
19%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
FED
6 - 0
CDU
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
4 - 2
FED
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FED
3 - 2
RAY
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 0
FED
27%
22%
52%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic Nueva Jarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
5 - 0
LBA
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CLU
2 - 1
ATH
9%
15%
77%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 1
CDR
67%
18%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MED
2 - 4
ATH
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ATH
3 - 1
BUR
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |