Federico Mayo vs Alcalá Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FED
2 - 0
ESP
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
FED
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FED
2 - 3
PUE
53%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ENT
2 - 2
FED
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FED
2 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
PUE
30%
24%
46%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
6 - 2
ALC
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 3
ENT
36%
24%
40%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
ALC
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
CDG
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | +2 |