FCR La Calzada vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCR La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TIN
0 - 2
CAL
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 3
ATL
51%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GLM
5 - 0
CAL
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
ABO
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
BOS
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
TRE
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAI
1 - 2
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
MCU
41%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UAS
5 - 3
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 3
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |