FCM Ungheni vs Speranis Nisporeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
8º
5º
14
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 9 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCM Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
GAG
0 - 0
UNG
30%
22%
48%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 3
UNG
33%
21%
46%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
UNG
2 - 2
ISK
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
FCS
5 - 2
UNG
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
UNG
2 - 4
FCO
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Speranis Nisporeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FST
5 - 2
FCO
32%
22%
45%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
GAG
1 - 0
FST
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FST
2 - 1
FCS
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
ISK
1 - 1
FST
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FST
1 - 2
SAX
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |