FCM Ungheni vs Speranța Drochia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
10º
5º
11
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCM Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
UNG
3 - 4
FCV
33%
23%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 4
UNG
4%
10%
86%
|
56 | 21 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ISK
2 - 3
UNG
20%
21%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FCO
0 - 3
UNG
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 4
UNG
38%
22%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Speranța Drochia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 3
ISK
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
EFV
4 - 2
FCS
34%
23%
43%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
FCS
65%
18%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
4 - 1
FCS
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
FCO
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |