FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
8º
5º
9
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 9 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCM Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 5
UNG
31%
20%
49%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FCO
4 - 1
UNG
21%
21%
58%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
UNG
0 - 4
STA
63%
19%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
UNG
7%
13%
81%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
UNG
2 - 3
FCV
31%
23%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olimp Comrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
PET
14 - 1
FCO
80%
14%
7%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
GAG
5 - 0
FCO
42%
22%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
FCO
0 - 3
ISK
37%
23%
41%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SPA
6 - 2
FCO
52%
21%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FCO
0 - 5
FCD
24%
23%
54%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |