FCB Frenda vs MC Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.2%
84%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
14.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCB Frenda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
CHE
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 55 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
MC Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
ALG
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MOB
0 - 1
ALG
34%
32%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 0
RCR
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ALG
3 - 2
ARZ
72%
20%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
ALG
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |