PEC Zwolle vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VOL
1 - 3
ZWO
23%
22%
55%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ZWO
2 - 1
TEL
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
MVV
1 - 3
ZWO
19%
21%
60%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
VVV
0 - 3
ZWO
16%
21%
63%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
ZWO
2 - 1
BVV
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
HER
3 - 0
FCO
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
MVV
5 - 1
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
TEL
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
GAE
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |