PEC Zwolle vs De Graafschap analysis

PEC Zwolle De Graafschap
71 ELO 61
7.5% Tilt 9.5%
375º General ELO ranking 635º
12º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
62.1%
PEC Zwolle
20.9%
Draw
17%
De Graafschap

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17%
Win probability
De Graafschap
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PEC Zwolle
+1%
-1%
De Graafschap

ELO progression

PEC Zwolle
De Graafschap
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2003
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
0 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
51%
24%
25%
70 74 4 0
17 May. 2003
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
33%
25%
42%
71 80 9 -1
10 May. 2003
TWE
Twente
0 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
47%
26%
27%
71 75 4 0
06 May. 2003
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
71 76 5 0
03 May. 2003
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
37%
26%
38%
70 78 8 +1

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2003
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 0
Groningen
GRO
44%
25%
32%
61 69 8 0
18 May. 2003
AJA
Ajax
7 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
88%
9%
3%
61 88 27 0
11 May. 2003
GRA
De Graafschap
0 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
30%
26%
44%
62 79 17 -1
02 May. 2003
EXC
Excelsior
3 - 4
De Graafschap
GRA
67%
19%
14%
61 68 7 +1
26 Apr. 2003
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 6
PSV
PSV
13%
19%
68%
61 88 27 0