PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ZWO
1 - 3
ZUL
22%
21%
57%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ZWO
0 - 2
SDL
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PSV
4 - 1
ZWO
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
ZWO
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 2
ZWO
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
UTR
4 - 3
LEV
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 2
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
GRO
0 - 1
UTR
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
UTR
32%
23%
45%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
GRO
0 - 1
UTR
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |