PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 2
ZWO
72%
17%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
STA
0 - 1
ZWO
6%
13%
82%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCE
0 - 1
ZWO
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ZWO
0 - 2
VIT
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
ZWO
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
VVV
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 3
NEC
37%
23%
40%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 3
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 0
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |