PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RJC
3 - 2
ZWO
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 0
SPA
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ZWO
3 - 4
FEY
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GRO
2 - 0
ZWO
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 1
VVV
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 1
WIL
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FEY
5 - 0
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VVV
2 - 3
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
AZA
15%
21%
65%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |