PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 3
ZWO
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 0
ZWO
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ZWO
3 - 1
VIT
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
ZWO
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
ZWO
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 1
SCH
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |