PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ZWO
2 - 1
TWE
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 3
ZWO
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ZWO
2 - 2
BVO
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
VVV
1 - 2
ZWO
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |