PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2001 |
GAE
0 - 2
ZWO
26%
23%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
BOS
2 - 2
ZWO
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ZWO
2 - 0
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
MVV
1 - 1
ZWO
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ZWO
2 - 0
TEL
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 0
EIN
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
HER
2 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
EXC
4 - 2
HEL
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
FCD
5 - 2
EXC
32%
24%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
BVV
2 - 0
EXC
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |