PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
VVV
1 - 1
ZWO
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
TEL
2 - 1
ZWO
45%
24%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ZWO
2 - 0
RBC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
ZWO
1 - 1
BVV
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
ZWO
1 - 0
BOS
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 1
BOS
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FCE
2 - 1
EXC
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
FCD
2 - 1
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 0
BVO
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |