PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 2
ZWO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
ZWO
2 - 0
HFC
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
92%
6%
2%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
ZWO
0 - 1
GAE
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 1
ZWO
59%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
TWE
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
SPA
4 - 2
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |