PFK Zvyagel vs Druzhba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
2º
62
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
78% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
FCZ
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 5
FCZ
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
RPH
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
FCZ
14%
19%
67%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FCZ
0 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Druzhba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCD
9 - 1
MET
30%
21%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RPH
0 - 1
FCD
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 1
UCS
45%
22%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCD
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 0
FKK
32%
21%
47%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |