FC Zurich II vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GCZ
3 - 2
FCL
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FCL
4 - 3
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |