Weesen vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
62.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
16º
16º
50
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAC
2 - 1
FCW
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FCW
0 - 1
BAZ
37%
24%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 1
FCW
41%
21%
38%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UST
2 - 1
FCW
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCW
74%
14%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WID
0 - 0
WIL
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DUB
2 - 4
WID
31%
21%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DSG
1 - 1
WID
29%
21%
51%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
WID
3 - 1
FCB
57%
20%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
5 - 0
WID
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |