Weesen vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
16º
16º
53
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 1
FCW
65%
17%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TAV
0 - 1
FCW
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 5
WIN
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 1
FCW
58%
19%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCW
3 - 0
KOS
22%
19%
59%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HON
3 - 1
TUG
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 3
TUG
19%
21%
61%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TUG
6 - 0
TAV
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 2
TUG
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUG
2 - 1
ESC
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |