Weesen vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
16º
16º
55
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCW
3 - 0
FCW
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCW
2 - 1
FRE
30%
21%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCP
5 - 1
FCW
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 7
FCG
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UZW
4 - 0
FCW
42%
21%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 1
TUG
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
LUG
50%
23%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
ESC
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |