Weesen vs Linth 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
16º
16º
50
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCW
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCW
0 - 0
FCW
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
FCW
77%
13%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCW
0 - 2
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCG
3 - 2
FCW
62%
18%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 5
TUG
31%
24%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
ESC
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 3
LIN
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
TAV
61%
20%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
4 - 2
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |