Weesen vs Bazenheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
16º
16º
40
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 1
FCW
41%
21%
38%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UST
2 - 1
FCW
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCW
74%
14%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 4
DSG
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 1
FCW
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAZ
3 - 1
WIL
21%
20%
60%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DSG
1 - 1
BAZ
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
BAZ
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAZ
1 - 3
FCT
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 2
BAZ
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |